TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1b6…614f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.11
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.