MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09af9830986ce1a73c99647bcca34b9fd8b46a0ad3ac234ba0b06ee76f53bc1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $696,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $838,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 113,332$59,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,421.58 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 109,301$56,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,745.79 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 91,837$43,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,163.43 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 41,445$20,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,014.14 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 29,919$15,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.82 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 29,040$13,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,809.01 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 20,734$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 17,470$8,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,488.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 16,772$8,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,218.28 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,839.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 14,991$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.73 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 14,343$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.14 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…cd53backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 11,927$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 11,455$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Minnesota Twins | 0c | 10,770$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 10,527$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 9,000$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 8,109$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.35 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.93 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Minnesota Twins | 6c | 7,391$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 7,031$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 6,332$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.12 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 7c | 5,401$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.52 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 5,373$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.44 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 5,056$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 4,845$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.07 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…4102backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 3,858$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 3,699$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.63 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,006$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.87 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,394$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.95 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,261$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 2,253$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.69 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 2,207$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 2,030$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.24 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,759$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.66 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,560$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.67 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 1,512$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,507$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.36 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 1,315$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,255$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,063$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.65 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 1,061$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 1,033$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 1,024$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 999.92$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.95 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 936.2$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 936$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.41 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 897.95$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 897.53$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.79 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 821.43$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.07 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 816.33$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 785$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.01 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 764.75$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.43 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 736.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 715.38$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.72 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 704.85$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.33 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 700.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 623$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 612.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 583.87$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 576.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 573.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 534$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 526.06$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 524.81$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 502.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 470.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.49 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 449.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 440.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 433.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 431.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 409.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 391.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 385$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.