TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbd60…396c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
341
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT19546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 195 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,510.53
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.76
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$3,241.73
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,294
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.55
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.14
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,724Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$3,610.91
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,777.35
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.59
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,446.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.08
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.89
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$242.64
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$700.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.9
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$722.84
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.15
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$59.4
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$961.69
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$724.37
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.09
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,453.98
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,028.94
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,447.58
Showing 25 of 195 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7638.2%29 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.82
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$495
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,819.21
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$119.56
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.41
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$102.95
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,556.04
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,637.71
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$496.16
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.48
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$168.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.98
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.46
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.99
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.2
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842.99
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.39
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.4
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.11
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.21
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.54
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,451.6
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,210.36
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$708.82
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,220.2
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.27
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,328.59
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,647.06
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$52.62
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.49
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,462.25
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$494.23
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.47
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.31
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+141%+$4,565.71
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$46.24
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$38.99
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,851Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,355.66
Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score Firstbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,066.91
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,455.54
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016.32
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037.51
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.47
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$463.09
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,004.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,103.31
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$3,104.08
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,648.78
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$500.53
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.4
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,619.98
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,010.56
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,277.65
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$262.35
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.63
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.59
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$536.91
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$2,921.32
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.91
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.09
All 14 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.