TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Knicks29c34,107$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Knicks29c20,050$5,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,714.482330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs71c11,703$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.762,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs73c10,630$7,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.918044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks30c8,388$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs72c8,006$5,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.7525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs71c7,233$5,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Spurs72c4,745$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.595657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Knicks29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00080%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs71c2,555$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.842,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Knicks28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7695641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs72c2,240$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.3364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Spurs72c2,105$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.331758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs71c1,786$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs71c1,610$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.4118445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs71c1,321$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.071,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs75c1,224$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.981,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs72c1,197$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.0152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs73c1,192$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.2353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Spurs70c1,189$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5733945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs71c1,118$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0225554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs71c987.76$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9416048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs71c890.53$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.491,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Knicks29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23212851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs71c780$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spurs71c774.65$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.655435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Knicks29c758.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Spurs72c751.58$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+162.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Spurs68c735.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.367638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spurs71c641.2$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9415759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs76c556.59$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.581,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Spurs72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Knicks29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14021848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5413161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs79c403.12$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.211,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks20c379.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.551,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Spurs71c366.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Knicks29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Spurs79c309$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.181957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs71c309$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Spurs71c296$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs72c286.11$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1118853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs73c280$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks18c278.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Knicks29c275.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs70c261.4$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Knicks28c249.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.84746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs71c195$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8226755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs71c179.91$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Spurs72c173.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.452070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Knicks29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x928f…b619backed Knicks29c165.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d54…45ebbacked Spurs71c153$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.37540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs71c135.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9129449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Spurs72c124.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.322951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs75c122.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2522753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Spurs71c109.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3714851.4%76 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Knicks29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs72c100.35$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3510548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4bf…23f6backed Spurs72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Spurs67c92.88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.873046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Spurs72c78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Spurs72c77.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.773935.9%14 W · 25 L-8.2wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Spurs71c73.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1811364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Knicks28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x193e…76ebbacked Spurs72c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.23342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Spurs74c58.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3814464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab8…d621backed Spurs71c57.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Spurs72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Spurs71c55.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8110061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs71c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…e656backed Knicks29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Knicks29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Spurs68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Spurs72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.236153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f7…a9a9backed Spurs71c39.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Spurs71c35.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.279157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Spurs71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.213759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs72c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.859956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Spurs72c31.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Spurs72c31.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.794577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Spurs72c31.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.792080%16 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs73c26.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Spurs71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.255671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Spurs71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8816659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Spurs72c23.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.612650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe459…fab7backed Spurs71c23.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…5703backed Spurs72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.836100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Spurs72c17.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.981957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked Spurs72c16.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Spurs71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.356344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Spurs72c14.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.075246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.