TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,259 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb15…8393backed Spurs19c10,682$2,029 inLost-$2,029.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs10c1,225$123 inLost-$122.61,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs22c1,177$259 inLost-$258.8893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Spurs19c977.32$186 inLost-$186.33043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…3eb7backed Knicks65c911.89$593 inWon+$319.161782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spurs20c785.86$157 inLost-$157.173644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks80c741.23$593 inWon+$148.2566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Spurs19c554.98$105 inLost-$105.4521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Spurs18c499.99$90 inLost-$906619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs14c436.79$61 inLost-$60.8553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs4c350$14 inLost-$141,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs20c349.59$69 inLost-$69.331,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs11c292.64$32 inLost-$32.421848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Spurs17c277.77$47 inLost-$47.2226048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs20c247$49 inLost-$49.418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs19c223.38$41 inLost-$41.351,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs20c205.93$41 inLost-$40.973946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs19c158.78$30 inLost-$30.1718653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Spurs19c157.89$30 inLost-$304035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs18c156.31$29 inLost-$28.861,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs11c120$13 inLost-$13.227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks80c100$80 inWon+$208355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs11c98.97$11 inLost-$10.6330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs19c96.32$18 inLost-$18.362144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs13c90$12 inLost-$11.71,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Spurs38c84.74$32 inLost-$32.25364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks80c70$56 inWon+$1450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Spurs20c51.22$10 inLost-$10.2427324.5%67 W · 206 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Spurs20c50$10 inLost-$1012147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks68c45$31 inWon+$14.471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Knicks66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.31850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks68c25$17 inWon+$89853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Knicks70c21.69$15 inWon+$6.513871.1%27 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf314…bad3backed Knicks80c17.73$14 inWon+$3.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.