TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,050 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf9f…f6a3backed No57c701.75$400 inWon+$301.756145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes43c298.75$128 inLost-$128.4633049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No50c192.54$96 inWon+$96.2722656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes30c145.09$43 inLost-$43.1730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes50c100$50 inLost-$501625%4 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Yes50c100$50 inLost-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes52c95.87$50 inLost-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Yes53c87$46 inLost-$46.1119952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes50c80.6$40 inLost-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes43c79.91$34 inLost-$34.3621848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed No50c78.5$39 inWon+$39.253964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Yes50c66$33 inLost-$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed Yes52c61$32 inLost-$31.721861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Yes50c60$30 inLost-$3032750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8dd…5672backed No54c54.03$29 inWon+$25.032951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No49c53.93$27 inWon+$27.284360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Yes50c50$25 inLost-$255337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Yes49c49.94$25 inLost-$24.672548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes50c41.14$20 inLost-$20.44139%16 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2766…b43ebacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed No56c35.61$20 inWon+$15.618100%8 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No49c33.32$16 inWon+$17.1333356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No51c30$15 inWon+$14.733556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No49c30$15 inWon+$15.326957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x394d…f8b1backed Yes51c29.41$15 inLost-$151968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+64.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb42…7e5cbacked Yes52c28.85$15 inLost-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Yes50c21.86$11 inLost-$111323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes50c20$10 inLost-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.