NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3e63a7c0e588b3a467571d3cc477520f25996182a7e84ea967471cf098f2c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks | 35c | 14,286$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Spurs | 65c | 7,666$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.03 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 61c | 3,282$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.5 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 65c | 3,071$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 72c | 2,077$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.09 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 27c | 1,923$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Spurs | 56c | 1,248$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.14 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 34c | 1,185$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.03 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 25c | 1,137$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 64c | 752.62$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 24c | 750.37$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Knicks | 44c | 595.7$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 76c | 582.71$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Knicks | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Spurs | 66c | 485.61$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 43c | 477.26$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs | 65c | 432.89$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…4fc6backed Knicks | 19c | 431.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Knicks | 34c | 322.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 35c | 319.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Knicks | 36c | 277.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…1a8dbacked Knicks | 38c | 256.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…24e2backed Spurs | 57c | 254.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks | 29c | 219.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Spurs | 57c | 211.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 65c | 200.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Spurs | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Spurs | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…962bbacked Spurs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +126%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs | 69c | 151$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks | 34c | 149.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 43c | 145.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…54f0backed Spurs | 67c | 144.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 65c | 137.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs | 73c | 128.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 64c | 119.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Knicks | 35c | 104.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 62c | 101.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Knicks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Knicks | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Spurs | 73c | 73.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Spurs | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Knicks | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Spurs | 65c | 57.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Spurs | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Spurs | 65c | 45.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Knicks | 35c | 42.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Knicks | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 64c | 38.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Spurs | 65c | 25.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Spurs | 55c | 23.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs | 65c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.