TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks58c37,587$21,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,800.4526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs42c24,410$10,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,124.8964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs42c15,763$6,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,144.3325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Spurs42c14,678$6,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,513.511428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked Knicks58c8,475$4,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,915.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…a1fabacked Knicks50c7,058$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks59c5,165$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.6952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs42c4,736$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.4620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks54c3,813$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.1855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks57c2,913$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Spurs73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67520856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5811558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks31c2,022$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.571,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs45c2,000$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.622,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks58c1,698$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks37c1,651$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.362,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks48c1,490$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.4119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks58c1,384$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.991,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Spurs41c1,234$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.0621446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs42c1,217$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.5430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Knicks18c1,165$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.746141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Knicks58c1,150$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6672653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs37c1,091$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks58c1,010$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.2312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Spurs41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5906250%31 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs41c999.96$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9843352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks69c888.7$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs41c804.4$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Spurs42c803.14$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.822650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks50c781.9$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Spurs41c757$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.6356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs41c742.71$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.21,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks44c673.43$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5421848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks58c656.98$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.052,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs42c587.65$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs48c500$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.841,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks57c476.06$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.352,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks58c472.03$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks6c458.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5916429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs51c402.24$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Knicks13c384.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks72c375.49$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8724…bfd3backed Spurs42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs45c355.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Knicks59c342.37$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Knicks52c338.57$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755422.2%12 W · 42 L-11.5wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks58c305.08$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.511,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs52c302.44$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Knicks58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17414551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de1…4fc6backed Knicks38c296.03$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks59c276.48$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Spurs42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.24062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Spurs42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1529…ba87backed Spurs42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.14957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Spurs42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks35c204$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks57c200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Spurs41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1188637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs34c199.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0222753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks73c196.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1625150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Knicks73c196.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.136038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs42c190.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa955…55d4backed Knicks59c189$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Knicks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053141.8%222 W · 309 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Knicks59c188.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.042540%10 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e9…b2e0backed Knicks58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Spurs58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Knicks59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Knicks59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Spurs44c154.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Knicks72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Spurs42c138.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.083638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2a…b44dbacked Knicks59c130.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks53c127$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.311,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs42c126.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Knicks40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016027.5%44 W · 116 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Spurs43c123.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2614552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Knicks58c122.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9810548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Knicks58c117$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8610545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs47c108.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.631,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs33c106$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs47c104.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.643946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs49c101.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5815927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Spurs50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Knicks58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5863445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Knicks78c99.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7832952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5518853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Spurs46c80.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Spurs65c77.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs65c77.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0321046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Spurs65c77.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0318444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Spurs65c77.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.03875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+104.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Spurs66c77.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Spurs66c77.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2320247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Spurs51c74.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.