NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0efee422293f7036a76dde33dca63621667d389632a43c2ac9ebff4511d21c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Knicks, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Knicks | 32c | 31,437$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks | 32c | 15,829$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 69c | 9,240$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.29 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 68c | 7,974$5,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 67c | 6,702$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.63 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Spurs | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.6 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Spurs | 68c | 5,147$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.06 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 69c | 5,138$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.54 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 69c | 2,276$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.57 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 68c | 2,174$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.49 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 75c | 1,223$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.57 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 20c | 1,141$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Spurs | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Spurs | 69c | 781.77$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.35 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 70c | 613.45$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 68c | 600$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Spurs | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Knicks | 30c | 493.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spurs | 68c | 439.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Knicks | 32c | 265$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 68c | 243$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs | 68c | 240$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Spurs | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Spurs | 69c | 154$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Spurs | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…496abacked Spurs | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs | 72c | 135$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Knicks | 31c | 123$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 68c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Spurs | 69c | 116$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Spurs | 71c | 115.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Spurs | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Knicks | 32c | 98.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Knicks | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…ff90backed Knicks | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Spurs | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Knicks | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 78c | 57.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs | 69c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Spurs | 68c | 39.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…5387backed Spurs | 77c | 38.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Spurs | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Knicks | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Spurs | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs | 67c | 27.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 71c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Spurs | 69c | 24.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Spurs | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Spurs | 70c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Spurs | 71c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.