TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4521…aeb7backed Knicks28c20,033$5,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,566.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks33c15,009$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs73c11,015$8,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs66c9,276$6,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.682,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Knicks32c7,938$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.262330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs68c7,258$4,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.5164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks34c6,988$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Spurs67c5,555$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.1515952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs76c2,984$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.061,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Knicks34c2,588$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.013116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Spurs67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs66c1,964$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.6525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs66c1,903$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.31,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs67c1,878$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.441,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs71c1,658$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs78c1,565$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.371,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs68c1,224$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.681,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs71c1,122$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.341,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs71c1,011$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks32c767.34$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.551,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs73c767.17$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.31,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs72c731$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs73c679.74$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Knicks32c499.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs67c486.28$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16112146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Spurs71c448.77$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.145349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks25c404.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.31,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs66c400$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.41,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Spurs61c368.85$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.853455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Spurs60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks28c268.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs74c268.22$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.747152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Spurs68c263$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.161643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs75c229.06$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Spurs73c200.04$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.347562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Knicks33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Spurs73c191.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.796038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9a50…e934backed Spurs78c190.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Spurs68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Spurs78c158.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.172937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs75c150$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7625944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0618853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Spurs76c146$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.043946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde3…57aabacked Spurs69c145.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks26c132.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Knicks29c115$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.458053.8%43 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked Spurs68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.292365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Spurs67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3310148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Knicks32c93.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8611333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Knicks33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs69c88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs73c80.18$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6521953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Knicks34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs73c79.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs74c79.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5615648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01d…6365backed Knicks18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Knicks33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs74c70.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs72c68.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3112150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs67c67.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca50…7691backed Spurs68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Spurs68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1236153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks28c65.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2822753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks29c64.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7421848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs73c64.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.324961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Spurs76c62.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0314464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Knicks33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Knicks33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs75c56.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1137652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs74c53.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.957154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs66c52.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Spurs68c51.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spurs67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Spurs68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.316659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Spurs71c41.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.954360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Spurs71c41.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.954158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Spurs73c40.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.824161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Spurs73c40.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.824161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca78…fe5dbacked Knicks35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146624.2%16 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Spurs68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.766259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Spurs72c34.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.559157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs60c33.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.349271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Spurs74c32.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.364577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Spurs74c32.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332080%16 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Spurs74c31.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.325536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Spurs68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4129652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Spurs67c28.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3421149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c78…e701backed Knicks38c27.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs66c27.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2710548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs66c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6526755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Spurs76c20.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.955839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Spurs66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.737353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs73c19.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3825958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0e…accebacked Spurs69c18.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe350…e494backed Spurs70c16.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Spurs73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0527553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.