TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06de…cf4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$13.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.32
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.77
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.24
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$25.18
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39.13
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.07
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.29
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$6.25
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$14.14
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$59.94
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$55.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.43
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$7.22
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.26
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$61.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$18.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+46%+$39.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$52.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.91
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$17.28
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44%+$5.71
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.52
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.84
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.45
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.68
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$15.48
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.35
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.22
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$6.67
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.76
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.3
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.58
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$122.91
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.59
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$9.48
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.24
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$34.17
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$15.71
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.04
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$85.52
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$63.99
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.79
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 197.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+157%+$28.5
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$16.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$137.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.03
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$10.59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$21.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$33.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+161.2%+$57.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$10.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$32.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+141%+$57.7
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$19.36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+1,039.7%+$117.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.53
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.61
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.87
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$8.96
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.45
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.23
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.6
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.29
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$224.14
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$74.35
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.