Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca65a9f8db70357ab50b669e52c8c60672f59d8b54dfd0bb333b6fdcf0c3dff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 10,332$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 4,412$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.98 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 63c | 2,754$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.88 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 75c | 2,095$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 25c | 1,373$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.61 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 68c | 1,335$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 65c | 1,126$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.66 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 13c | 1,124$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 36c | 911$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.96 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 30c | 825.15$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.61 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 20c | 734.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 22c | 704.69$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 690.59$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 74c | 684.59$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 6c | 652.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 613.33$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 596.5$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 26c | 559.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 37c | 549$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 15c | 543.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 35c | 539.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 65c | 538.77$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 24c | 497.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 34c | 484.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 479.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 24c | 456.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…bdc6backed Yes | 37c | 441.03$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 68c | 432.38$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 404.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 401.39$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 21c | 373.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 12c | 370.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 360$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 334.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 322.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…ec4fbacked Yes | 28c | 287.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 20c | 286.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 67c | 281.23$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 37c | 278.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 18c | 275.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 31c | 266.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 37c | 254.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed No | 77c | 251$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 242.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 234.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 232.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…388fbacked Yes | 38c | 220.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 22c | 219.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 219.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed No | 70c | 213.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 213$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…ef7cbacked Yes | 11c | 200.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 199.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 33c | 195.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 28c | 192.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 33c | 191.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 75c | 180.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 174.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 16c | 173.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 18c | 172.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 35c | 160.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 16c | 159.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 69c | 152.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 152.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…df5abacked Yes | 35c | 150.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 34c | 145.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 12c | 138.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 26c | 129.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 22c | 129.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 17c | 123.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 23c | 123.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 23c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 65c | 115.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 109.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 27c | 105.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…a73bbacked Yes | 23c | 103.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 35c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 78c | 101.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…6d74backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 97.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 65c | 89.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 25c | 87.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 70c | 86.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 37c | 84.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 23c | 84.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 30c | 83.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 69c | 81.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 30c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.