Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfb0fbfc1a013e11e97f525f0403497cc0ba75ed9576318bf7d7df8d98856f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 7c | 1,158$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 29c | 854.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 826.35$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 38c | 814.31$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.09 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 23c | 790$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 43c | 600$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.79 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 596.5$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.16 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 35c | 554.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.48 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 551.89$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 14c | 531.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 520$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 41c | 480.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 78c | 456.54$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 53c | 449.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.57 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…aa75backed Yes | 38c | 433.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.17 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 425.37$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 45c | 418.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.67 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 360$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 357.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.23 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 42c | 349.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 51c | 347.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 58c | 344.61$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 40c | 308.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 303$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 57c | 291.83$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 272.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 39c | 269.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 39c | 253.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 77c | 250.31$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 26c | 227.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 36c | 208.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 17c | 204.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 53c | 203$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 201.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 35c | 195.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 186.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 14c | 180.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 46c | 175.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 30c | 156.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 75c | 155.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 62c | 152.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 144.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 71c | 140.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 68c | 139.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 46c | 138$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 68c | 113.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 51c | 112.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 110.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 48c | 109.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 58c | 106.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 61c | 104.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 35c | 103.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 54c | 101.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 50c | 100.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 38c | 94.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 49c | 92.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 32c | 88.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 45c | 87.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 45c | 85.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 43c | 84.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 32c | 84.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dce…1ae5backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 30c | 81.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…f05bbacked No | 62c | 81.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 80.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 77.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 37c | 74.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…9c93backed Yes | 66c | 73.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 69.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…de58backed No | 63c | 67.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 67.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 65.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 26c | 61.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 45c | 55.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 31c | 53.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 53.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 48c | 50.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 44c | 50.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.