TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6ec…fd3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8169.1%56 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$36.96
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$25.25
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32%+$38.42
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.74
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.95
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$51.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$48.7
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.54
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.65
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$27.59
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.26
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$136.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$31.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$132.21
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$58.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.57
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$18.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$60.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.75
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.36
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.84
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75%+$18.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$92.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+207.1%+$955.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$184.5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.93
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$176.57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$63.59
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$674.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.