Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b91817fca48c75bafd89f7bae3b0d462bc9800ea5f6c25a1e3adc51e2d01e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,029$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 60c | 1,706$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.51 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 25c | 913.72$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.59 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 37c | 875.33$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 43c | 747.61$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.99 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 52c | 705.21$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.99 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 41c | 617.76$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.23 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 594.93$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 30c | 568.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 567.19$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.61 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 40c | 556.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.48 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 529.61$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 66c | 522.42$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 57c | 488.75$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 78c | 483.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 70c | 461.9$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 75c | 456.37$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 48c | 436.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 29c | 416$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…dffdbacked Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 398.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 12c | 396.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 77c | 355.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 40c | 354.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 64c | 340.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 35c | 339.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…1577backed No | 25c | 332.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 42c | 329.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.12 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…bdedbacked No | 19c | 309.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 53c | 299.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 20c | 295$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 290.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 41c | 286.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 48c | 251.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 76c | 220.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 17c | 209.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 52c | 192.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 49c | 181.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 43c | 181.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 36c | 177.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 79c | 177.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 176.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 56c | 175.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 18c | 173.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 38c | 166.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 12c | 160.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 58c | 155.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 37c | 145.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 46c | 141.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…e691backed Yes | 30c | 141.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 23c | 130.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 38c | 129.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 47c | 128.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 126.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 42c | 123.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 26c | 119.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 44c | 119$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 45c | 112.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 36c | 110.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 47c | 106.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…c13bbacked No | 60c | 103.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947a…cd42backed Yes | 45c | 99.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 55c | 99.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 59c | 97.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 53c | 96.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bc…e100backed No | 37c | 96.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 13c | 96.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 45c | 95.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 15c | 91.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 40c | 89.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…99b7backed Yes | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked Yes | 45c | 88.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 47c | 85.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 14c | 84.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 24c | 84.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked No | 15c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 19c | 80.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 80.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 79c | 75.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 52c | 75.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 43c | 67.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 73c | 62.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 53c | 60.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 58.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6215backed Yes | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.