Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2fef61727b8b064f3a80256490862b9c21c9374d479641450957dc2a25bc91c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 0c | 24,423$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Yes | 1c | 8,831$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 74c | 573.93$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Yes | 3c | 419.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 307$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 260.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 241.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 55c | 228.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 31c | 225.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 214.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed Yes | 41c | 189.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 187.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 60c | 182.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 27c | 158.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 76c | 157.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 42c | 139.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 33c | 138.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 133.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 31c | 126.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 75c | 120.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 77c | 113.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 109.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 42c | 107.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 66c | 105.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 69c | 103.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 96.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 73c | 89.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 87.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 26c | 86.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked Yes | 27c | 86.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 68c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 34c | 80.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…0a41backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 26c | 76.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 75.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 29c | 75.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 75c | 73.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…56e7backed No | 57c | 64.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 67c | 63.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…79debacked Yes | 26c | 62.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 44c | 60.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…a5d4backed Yes | 27c | 58.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 25c | 57.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 55.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 77c | 54.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 53.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84b…fe57backed Yes | 33c | 50.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 35c | 49.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked No | 75c | 48.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…cf5cbacked Yes | 26c | 48.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 75c | 48.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 26c | 48.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 78c | 47.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 73c | 47.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 46.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 43c | 46.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 26c | 46.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…d3edbacked Yes | 43c | 45.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 77c | 45.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 24c | 43.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 57c | 42.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 69c | 41.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 27c | 39.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 70c | 33.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 32.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 45c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 30.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4876…22e2backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 38c | 28.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 55c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…7a24backed No | 77c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed No | 53c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…a381backed No | 67c | 21.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 73c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 76c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.