TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f3f…af73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT19848%95 W · 103 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$19.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+237.9%+$47.58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$29.26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$19.69
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$15.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$14.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$6.58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101%+$20.21
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-73.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$12.94
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$23.2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.89
Will Solana reach $130 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Solana dip to $200 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will XRP dip to $2.70 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$28.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$17.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$21.81
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+32.9%+$9.9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$18.41
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.99
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.46
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Inter win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+30.6%+$5.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.