TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked No45c17,192$7,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,525.464247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No44c16,464$7,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,256.5812551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6002365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes56c7,143$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No44c5,194$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.657922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Yes56c5,082$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes55c4,514$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.573145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9914647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.975253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No46c3,872$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.921060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No42c2,855$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.2827453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c2,800$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c2,395$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.623,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes58c2,388$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3854845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes54c2,271$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.181668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No42c2,183$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.361936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes69c2,170$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.2726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes57c2,105$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201580%12 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes54c1,830$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No42c1,670$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.6230743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes65c1,654$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.9240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed Yes57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1181…509abacked Yes56c1,287$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…77c9backed Yes56c1,266$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes58c1,216$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No49c1,162$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.2614854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes54c1,091$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.511926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No43c982.7$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.146860.3%41 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes54c908.64$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No44c898.86$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.361827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Yes57c890.16$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.391275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes49c809.3$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes55c805.98$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.834358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c744$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes57c736.84$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c720.79$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes56c699.5$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes63c681$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.4137039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes57c649.07$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3685658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes10c619.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.581942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+138.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No43c601.69$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.982733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No43c571$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.477653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f48…c790backed Yes56c550$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes57c543$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.596035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff7…9834backed Yes57c532.26$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.39911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf322…1cf1backed Yes49c461.16$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes55c389$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.952462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes57c379.58$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.494330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x356a…d352backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes56c359.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes56c354.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes57c351.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes57c348.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes59c308.16$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17411947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes57c299$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4310063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No43c295$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1617155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes57c289.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.012951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No44c281.8$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.812927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes58c275.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes56c268.08$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15115062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes54c250$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x001b…1bd7backed Yes45c248.89$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No44c241.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.32147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes57c234.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes57c227.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.811154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes57c221.73$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.972245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes56c221.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No53c220$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.63250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No43c218.17$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3514621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No44c215$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.46250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes61c213.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3024…8ecebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Yes63c208.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.65850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+49.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ca…5679backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d4…2692backed No47c199.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed4…728cbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2c…f53ebacked Yes57c187.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.753467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c182.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.743255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.717448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57df…0bfabacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-56.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d0…a38abacked Yes56c177.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.151154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d3e…03c7backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.