La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a902e9bc3c8c3e5a99ccfcb4c78f7c7c4a63dd0ef7f683d28bc0e2083af1374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 17c | 2,292$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.41 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 26c | 1,133$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,028$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.44 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 79c | 1,009$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 68c | 842.02$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 482.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.78 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 26c | 388.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 275$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 27c | 275$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 265$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 210.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 167.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 20c | 145$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 76c | 124.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 27c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…60a9backed Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?No won
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.