TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a4c…6579

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST4235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.31
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+39.9%+$5.7
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.66
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.84
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+82.9%+$9.07
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.78
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$112.19
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+400%+$160
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+147.1%+$298.84
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.91
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.75
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$28.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.03
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$411
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.53
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$188.8
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST3250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+86.9%+$18.59
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.27
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+413.1%+$461.32
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+356.8%+$292.23
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,308Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+68%+$889.37
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.27
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$530.77
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.62
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.84
Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+161.3%+$344.69
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.66
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+77.2%+$42.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+89%+$103.6
Will Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$404.87
Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.91
Will Girona win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$35.63
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$18.59
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$738.34
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+312.2%+$331.23
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.17
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.2%+$7.2
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$47.57
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Monaco vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.38
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.51
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$167.03
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.55
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.34
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$410.16
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.63
Will FC Kopenhagen vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.48
Will Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+392.3%+$627.13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.01
Will Slavia Praha vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.22
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+571.7%+$806.04
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+170.4%+$423.18
Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Real Madrid vs. Olympique Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.86
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.28
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+118.1%+$164.6
Will Armenia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.88
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.77
Will Australia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.64
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+25%+$26
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Germany win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.08
Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.93
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will Denmark win on 2025-09-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+98.3%+$357.29
Will Slovenia win on 2025-09-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.22
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+53%+$148.28
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$186
Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$53.27
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.99
Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+38.5%+$680.05
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$452.84
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9.8
Will Torino win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Will Verona vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.49
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+525%+$121.1
Will Bologna vs. Genoa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$105.62
Will Lecce win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+58.5%+$37.44
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.62
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.49
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+141.6%+$1,252.79
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Inter win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$76.43
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.65
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.6
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.42
Will Ludogorets win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.51
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$106
Will Real Betis vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.8
Will PAOK vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.05
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.88
Will FCSB vs. Aberdeen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13.52
Will FC Utrecht vs. HSK Zrinjski end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.08
Will Samsunspor vs. Panathinaikos end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$124.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid-11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+144.9%+$17.75
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.08
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.45
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.69
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$9.79
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$86.44
Will FC St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$28.05
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+300.6%+$206.35
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+47.6%+$4.84
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+41.8%+$7.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.