La Liga · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9612df99e2a111bcd2ea5e6dc3219f1882cce128ce9351899fc74a8eff18d489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 84,159$29,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,208.45 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 52c | 37,262$19,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,891.57 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 69c | 31,144$21,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,489.45 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 29c | 15,293$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,827.73 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5189…7320backed Yes | 31c | 11,959$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,252.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 12c | 9,702$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.92 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…7a40backed No | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 69c | 5,581$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.07 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed No | 71c | 4,960$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 62c | 4,599$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.81 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 56c | 4,400$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.41 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 30c | 3,763$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 31c | 2,571$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 2,333$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.43 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 69c | 2,300$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Yes | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed No | 70c | 2,195$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 30c | 2,049$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.23 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 44c | 1,997$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.63 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…d751backed No | 71c | 1,983$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 1,962$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.53 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 30c | 1,914$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.79 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 71c | 1,792$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 2c | 1,712$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 69c | 1,533$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.97 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…ce46backed No | 71c | 1,404$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 72c | 1,324$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.59 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed No | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed No | 51c | 789.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 71c | 704$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed No | 71c | 699.15$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…b4e5backed Yes | 15c | 649.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed No | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…3a87backed Yes | 31c | 568.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed No | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 67c | 546.51$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 21c | 527.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…a528backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 493.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.5 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 61c | 489.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…09cabacked No | 71c | 485.92$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…278cbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 29c | 465.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.14 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked No | 52c | 440.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 70c | 431.94$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed No | 71c | 430$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 29c | 423.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…0bc9backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 34c | 415.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.41 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 406.13$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked No | 72c | 399.96$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked No | 49c | 399.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 14c | 395.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 390.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 32c | 347.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 71c | 283.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…35f7backed No | 69c | 276$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 270.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 69c | 229.77$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 223.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…0c67backed Yes | 31c | 220$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 219.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…c460backed Yes | 32c | 206$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9747backed No | 70c | 198.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…bb33backed No | 71c | 198.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 32c | 170.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 66c | 170$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a3e0backed Yes | 31c | 161.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed No | 69c | 161.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 29c | 153.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 70c | 144.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed No | 70c | 143.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 71c | 137.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…527dbacked No | 38c | 133.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed No | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…b07dbacked No | 12c | 112.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.