La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5ea1a6c7fd81f7268efd5f7d29faae1c389b7a606f0ac4a9d2259d74aa1738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $567,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $565,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 43c | 100,000$43,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,051.94 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 43c | 69,926$29,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,727.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 57c | 69,435$39,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,992.73 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 63c | 51,484$32,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,901.65 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 46,197$26,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,975.17 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 44,477$27,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,077.21 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 58c | 32,334$18,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,580.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 57c | 26,111$14,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,172.48 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 43c | 21,919$9,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,476.13 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 57c | 21,692$12,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,327.56 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 57c | 20,429$11,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 41c | 19,687$8,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,152.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da3…2dcabacked Yes | 49c | 17,730$8,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,755.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 56c | 15,130$8,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.16 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 56c | 14,927$8,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.69 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 43c | 11,942$5,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 10,720$6,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 7,585$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.47 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 1c | 7,420$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 7,104$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.77 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 41c | 6,873$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.48 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 61c | 6,834$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.07 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 24c | 6,825$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 44c | 6,821$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 43c | 6,434$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 35c | 6,349$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 44c | 5,894$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 44c | 5,539$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 43c | 5,279$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Yes | 44c | 4,642$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 4,566$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.02 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 43c | 4,525$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.62 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 44c | 4,507$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 38c | 3,942$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 34c | 3,800$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 4c | 3,719$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.27 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…2c63backed No | 57c | 3,660$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…1f4bbacked Yes | 44c | 3,650$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 53c | 3,576$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.39 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 3,492$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.29 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…c6fbbacked No | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…ab19backed Yes | 44c | 3,200$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 43c | 3,050$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 56c | 2,913$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.37 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 57c | 2,831$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 34c | 2,623$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 57c | 2,600$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.97 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 42c | 2,571$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 44c | 2,344$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…a984backed No | 57c | 2,321$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…5340backed Yes | 44c | 2,320$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 57c | 2,320$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 44c | 2,269$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 57c | 2,211$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.02 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 60c | 2,198$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 42c | 2,195$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…7a22backed Yes | 41c | 2,096$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 55c | 2,081$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 44c | 2,017$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.31 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,827$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.71 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 56c | 1,794$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.03 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 31c | 1,684$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,658$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 1,658$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 1,628$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.74 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 32c | 1,621$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,498$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 57c | 1,454$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.84 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…80a5backed Yes | 43c | 1,421$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 44c | 1,398$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…1fa7backed Yes | 43c | 1,349$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 43c | 1,289$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed No | 65c | 1,228$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,227$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…4e61backed Yes | 2c | 1,209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 1,206$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.44 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586c…1debbacked Yes | 41c | 1,197$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…79cebacked Yes | 16c | 1,140$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…7918backed Yes | 44c | 1,134$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,109$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.