TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No72c6,185$4,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.6512551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes28c5,906$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.663145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No76c5,051$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.8927453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes28c4,039$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No69c2,365$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.9830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No72c2,095$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.465253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,623$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.723,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes28c1,607$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes15c1,522$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.817525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes32c1,511$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes35c1,433$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Yes34c1,300$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc9…3192backed Yes7c1,006$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c999.97$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No72c993.19$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.097060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c968$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.534,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes29c761.72$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.93847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No73c750$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7726930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes27c690$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.96142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes10c600.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.294126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes22c543.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c536.98$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes25c522.87$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes28c444.71$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.684746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No77c438$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Yes9c369.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes28c316.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.035151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…a528backed Yes26c304$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No63c192.7$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.37762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x288d…550dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f2…0bc9backed Yes30c169.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed Yes27c168.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5114166.7%94 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3061…862ebacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991414.3%2 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304d…73e5backed Yes28c107.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec36…78bbbacked Yes37c104$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x001b…1bd7backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46f…0819backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…5e82backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes17c95.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes28c86.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958c…4d8abacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Yes27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.126753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No67c84.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1929038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c84.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes29c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.33922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No71c77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3314854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…31a3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc1…95f3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes28c71.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No71c59.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.227653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a0f…4cbdbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes28c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7614462.5%90 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes28c36.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.341936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes35c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3417744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No72c25.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No71c18.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.517155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No68c17.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32b…522dbacked No73c17.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.623473.5%25 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d2…9565backed No74c14.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e0…0b63backed No73c13.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.72369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.