TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2db…31ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$309.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88%+$93.6
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$117.7
Spain to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.6
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$90.85
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$70.21
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$160.18
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.83
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Algeria to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.85
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$371.43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$388.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+809.1%+$202.27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+109.6%+$164.33
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+229%+$457.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.8%+$217.54
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.36
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$108.47
Will Sevilla vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Osasuna vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+306.3%+$306.26
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Espanyol vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$98.06
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$272.43
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Juventus vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+270.1%+$270.12
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+138.1%+$133.4
Will Aston Villa vs. Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+119.3%+$238.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.