Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa87544afc47b0ab472130f57dfe7db021a65ec1cc8c956d8ca1f57d258353f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,643,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,605,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,643,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 941 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 72c | 313,822$225,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225,951.75 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 172,170$49,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,060.89 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 28c | 165,446$47,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,420.26 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 114,927$51,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,833.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 30c | 114,780$33,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,797.58 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 28c | 94,242$26,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,750.56 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 28c | 79,715$22,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,040.42 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 28c | 74,999$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,999.63 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 70c | 74,523$52,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,465.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 72c | 72,500$52,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,200.35 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Yes | 71c | 70,408$49,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,989.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 52,364$37,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,837.46 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 29c | 46,080$13,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,716.8 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 72c | 45,163$32,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,588.22 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 36,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,799.95 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 71c | 35,357$25,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,035.43 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 36c | 34,707$12,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,127.09 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Yes | 49c | 32,982$16,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,161 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 27c | 24,674$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,948.53 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 46c | 23,007$10,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,562.49 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 29c | 21,123$6,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,997.01 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…cbc3backed Yes | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,599.98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 29c | 16,612$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,794.5 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Yes | 45c | 14,563$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 27c | 14,499$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,574.22 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 14,372$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.38 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…c9efbacked Yes | 71c | 12,676$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked No | 27c | 12,234$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,883.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 28c | 11,900$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,511.48 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 29c | 11,286$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,013.2 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 30c | 10,574$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,441.39 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 47c | 10,506$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 29c | 10,487$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,445.67 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 29c | 8,381$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,987.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 7,486$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.68 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 72c | 6,666$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 73c | 6,301$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 43c | 6,040$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.68 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 69c | 5,823$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.48 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 53c | 5,694$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes | 72c | 5,517$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 27c | 5,336$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.38 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 5,268$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.37 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 72c | 5,056$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.97 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 42c | 4,818$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 29c | 4,807$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed No | 28c | 4,525$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 28c | 4,229$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.9 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…c755backed Yes | 74c | 4,045$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 50c | 3,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 51c | 3,796$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.81 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 71c | 3,600$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 42c | 3,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 67c | 3,495$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 3,381$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.03 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 74c | 3,374$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 49c | 3,321$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.7 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 43c | 3,209$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.16 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 55c | 3,030$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.49 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 49c | 2,982$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 51c | 2,914$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 55c | 2,860$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,829$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.36 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 41c | 2,484$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…d0abbacked Yes | 71c | 2,451$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,410$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…bd26backed Yes | 73c | 2,386$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 43c | 2,324$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,309$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.55 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…37a3backed No | 78c | 2,296$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 43c | 2,154$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.43 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,135$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.93 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…0e55backed Yes | 71c | 2,122$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,100$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 69c | 2,066$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.47 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 70c | 1,925$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.64 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.