Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac1c19d6ae7bcedebc0ea43d40fc8bce95d6bde1ab485be020d23b69a4693eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 13c | 191,802$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 12c | 10,258$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 12c | 9,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 7,963$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.93 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 11c | 6,909$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 13c | 5,007$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.46 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,413$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.43 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 13c | 3,490$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.93 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 12c | 3,307$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes | 10c | 2,520$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,148$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Yes | 13c | 1,846$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,775$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 13c | 1,753$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 11c | 1,423$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 12c | 1,170$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 10c | 999.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 988.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 6c | 974.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 8c | 912.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 14c | 883.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 6c | 874.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 11c | 858.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 12c | 833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 13c | 823.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 11c | 644.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 12c | 617.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…68e1backed Yes | 8c | 543.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 13c | 404.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 12c | 391.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 11c | 360$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Yes | 11c | 342.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…d0b0backed Yes | 13c | 315.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 11c | 300.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 11c | 300.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 9c | 282.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 12c | 278.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…b77ebacked Yes | 12c | 270.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Yes | 11c | 254.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 11c | 244$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 11c | 228$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 8c | 216.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 10c | 200.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 13c | 195.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes | 6c | 189.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…6144backed Yes | 6c | 184.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 12c | 183.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…dc6ebacked Yes | 12c | 183.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…f85ebacked Yes | 11c | 176.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 12c | 164.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 14c | 163.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 11c | 160.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 11c | 152.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 11c | 145.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…dbf8backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…bdbdbacked Yes | 12c | 124.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 11c | 123$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 11c | 110.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 14c | 108.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…02fabacked Yes | 12c | 106.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…c97fbacked Yes | 11c | 104.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2daa…38efbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.