TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes13c191,802$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0003246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes12c10,258$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2319636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes12c10,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes12c9,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0806833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes11c7,963$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.931,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes11c6,909$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9919239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes13c5,007$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.4613727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes11c4,413$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.437844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes11c4,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes13c3,490$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.934850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes12c3,307$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.742425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes10c2,520$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.82213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes10c2,148$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Yes13c1,846$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes11c1,775$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes13c1,753$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212030%6 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes11c1,423$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5417234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes12c1,170$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.410426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes10c999.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes11c988.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.41,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes6c974.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4828070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes8c912.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5225530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009043.3%39 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes14c883.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes6c874.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes11c858.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.449929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed Yes12c833$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes13c823.08$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1075232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9622534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7729427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes11c644.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9818551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes12c617.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…68e1backed Yes8c543.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.483043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e4…3342backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes13c404.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.581428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Yes12c391.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes11c360$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.64231%13 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Yes11c342.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.655028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9635…d0b0backed Yes13c315.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes11c300.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes11c300.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes9c282.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4620448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes12c278.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.420027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabca…b77ebacked Yes12c270.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Yes11c254.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.012835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes11c244$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.841,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbd…1288backed Yes11c228$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x546d…b6f4backed Yes8c216.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.984626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes10c200.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0310956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3330050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3315350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a3…5249backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-78.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes13c195.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4611234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes6c189.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x234b…6144backed Yes6c184.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-69.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes12c183.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2236036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…dc6ebacked Yes12c183.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4738backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205827.6%16 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb0…b622backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9b…f85ebacked Yes11c176.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes12c164.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7118929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Yes11c163.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes14c163.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked Yes11c160.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.692814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes11c152.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes11c145.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94fe…dbf8backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe624…bdbdbacked Yes12c124.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes11c123$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5313939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes11c110.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3585…1cd9backed Yes11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes14c108.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdce0…02fabacked Yes12c106.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae59…c97fbacked Yes11c104.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.491127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138234.1%28 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2daa…38efbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.