TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee75…f23a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 61 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.11
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$91.11
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.08
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$44.84
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.63
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.14
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+270.4%+$51.1
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.01
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+201.2%+$72.4
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$54.35
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$27.7
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+179.2%+$35.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.95
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.38
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senegal vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senegal vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Gabon vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Will Benin win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+113.6%+$12.29
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$107.76
Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.06
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick27cpaid+144.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+675.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+675.4%+$148.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.