Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb200f82169f1f9ede4453aeba596c4fe65ca426a2f50cf03a612333ccf760f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 27c | 30,536$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 73c | 28,225$20,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.59 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 27c | 21,907$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.89 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 11,955$8,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.66 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…668fbacked Yes | 26c | 9,231$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 7,000$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 6,720$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 73c | 5,753$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.86 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 5,591$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 72c | 4,500$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 68c | 4,480$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 27c | 3,702$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 1,981$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.06 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 26c | 1,731$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 1,697$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.13 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 1,681$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.98 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 26c | 1,534$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 18c | 1,530$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 73c | 1,476$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.72 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 1,288$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 74c | 1,264$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.47 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 1,164$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,160$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed No | 70c | 1,100$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,040$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,031$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.06 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5164…f814backed No | 74c | 891.89$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 75c | 832$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 766$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 11c | 729$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 713.01$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a32…e49cbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 20c | 700$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…e074backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 74c | 663.09$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 74c | 658.89$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…c878backed Yes | 23c | 652.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 30c | 647.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 32c | 627.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 21c | 610$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…453cbacked Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 18c | 588.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 26c | 577$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 543.51$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…867abacked No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 485$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 482.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 26c | 460.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked No | 65c | 440.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 24c | 429.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 24c | 422.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 39c | 412.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 23c | 385.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 74c | 380.78$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Yes | 26c | 378.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 27c | 370.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…1c35backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…79a4backed Yes | 27c | 348.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 32c | 334.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…c60abacked Yes | 27c | 285.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 26c | 276.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…eb41backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0740…a340backed Yes | 38c | 260.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…56b6backed Yes | 17c | 257.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…f658backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d9…1f75backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 78c | 249.01$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 27c | 235$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 73c | 233.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 74c | 229.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 27c | 225.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 7c | 218.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed No | 74c | 216.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 214.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…35eabacked No | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 74c | 208.7$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes | 36c | 200.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.