TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe8e…27ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST4637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$31.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$4.72
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75.67
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$79.28
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$182.46
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+86.9%+$122.56
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+68%+$135.42
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+34.7%+$65.06
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.5%+$17.17
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$85.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$203.61
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$223.36
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74.11
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$905.96
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$471.05
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$184.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$597.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.12
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$266.32
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$187.45
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-80.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+141.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+191.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$26.9
Wimbledon: Cerundolo vs. Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$20.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+272.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+272.5%+$1,277.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.