TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes25c50,101$12,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,476.495628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c27,276$17,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,523.622,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes31c25,911$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,990.354841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No67c10,155$6,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,803.9413829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No75c10,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5002365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c8,643$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.834,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c7,183$5,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,411.071,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c6,733$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,645.256,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No70c5,868$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.5716851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes39c5,391$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.411957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes80c5,084$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.8327750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c5,032$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.4925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c4,695$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.981,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c4,008$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.621,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No75c3,786$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.312763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes45c3,746$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.3424146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes52c2,914$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Yes50c2,042$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1658…d875backed Yes24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No77c1,757$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Yes25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1252330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes64c1,310$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8519654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes47c1,178$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6825052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes31c1,161$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.297332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No63c1,139$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.3730666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5a44…e974backed Yes69c1,139$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed No74c1,074$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.444065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes12c1,000$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8804425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No76c999.95$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9614147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c984$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.841,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes31c900$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62127024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No75c898.05$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.5730739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes79c877.3$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.232737%10 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes55c846.87$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.872060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56010333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No43c782.21$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1325530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes49c716.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.138927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9da…06eebacked Yes65c688.2$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No75c629.94$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Yes80c626.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.581376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.065238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Yes64c549.06$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.161421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Yes24c518$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.68875%6 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+155.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c517.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5677236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes14c504.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.182259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes65c502.63$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.913651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes29c468.21$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ea…2f87backed Yes68c467.53$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No76c440.57$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.831,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c436.35$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No75c435$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes30c426$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No30c417.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8629041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29612951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071b…b44cbacked Yes24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes38c379.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3610751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes67c367$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c359.16$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.351,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1410130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Yes60c333.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No75c323$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2530050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes32c313.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.733026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No41c310.74$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1220931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22518551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes78c287$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes25c279.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.551936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes37c272.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4618251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes59c272$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.397753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6716142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2596…0431backed Yes54c265.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked No29c263.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes25c260$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No44c249.04$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5642324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No76c230.26$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes57c228.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.072055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes12c227.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes60c226.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.713135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes30c220$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1549534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.314531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No74c190$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.625553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Yes57c183.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.951353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.