TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a7c…eab7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST4365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$72.29
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$447.64
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$42.94
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$657.05
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+270.4%+$165.89
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$275.2
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$254.64
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$244.44
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,032.96
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$106.37
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$222.13
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$440.69
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$238.61
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$321.2
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$135.08
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$535.54
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$170.78
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$70.32
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$433.02
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$186.96
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$42.09
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$27.74
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.4%+$448.75
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$224.62
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$502.93
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$779.91
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$14,520.85
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14,913.94
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,626.89
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,799.07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,413.77
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,336.2
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,857.27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$18,473.3
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,738.36
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$8,647.06
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,305.98
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$11,957.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,483.28
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,746.97
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,928.49
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,696Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,686.86
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,853Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$16,846.98
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,671.19
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,740.84
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$11,310.39
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$918.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,774.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.92
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$489.55
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.47
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$195.37
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$150.11
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.08
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$312.72
Will Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$27.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$399.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$386.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.