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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof Rex Regum Qeon, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Rex Regum Qeon57c31,723$18,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,078.4124145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed EDward Gaming43c30,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,10034356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Rex Regum Qeon55c13,599$7,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,420.8618148.1%87 W · 94 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Rex Regum Qeon56c7,182$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00035157.3%201 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Rex Regum Qeon49c4,886$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.5429255.8%163 W · 129 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed EDward Gaming45c4,541$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.386428.1%18 W · 46 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed EDward Gaming69c4,142$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.825058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Rex Regum Qeon33c4,034$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.9722344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…4891backed Rex Regum Qeon57c3,528$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed EDward Gaming45c3,508$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Rex Regum Qeon56c3,070$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.273966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Rex Regum Qeon1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked EDward Gaming45c2,171$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.119340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed EDward Gaming45c2,156$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.564042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked EDward Gaming52c2,026$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.988348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Rex Regum Qeon55c1,963$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.7423151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed EDward Gaming45c1,720$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.864736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked EDward Gaming44c1,631$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.6510346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Rex Regum Qeon18c1,536$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.26647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Rex Regum Qeon54c1,508$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.7963955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked EDward Gaming46c1,434$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.2615431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Rex Regum Qeon54c1,423$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.264158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Rex Regum Qeon54c1,404$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.1633348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed EDward Gaming44c1,399$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.44875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed EDward Gaming45c1,358$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211a…c765backed Rex Regum Qeon21c1,210$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.561050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed EDward Gaming43c1,144$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.833834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed EDward Gaming44c1,132$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.6515137.7%57 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming66c1,080$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.693649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked EDward Gaming77c1,034$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.846150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked EDward Gaming44c1,033$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick56cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed EDward Gaming44c1,000$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1125453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Rex Regum Qeon50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked EDward Gaming50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked EDward Gaming44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked EDward Gaming44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5608334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked EDward Gaming45c999$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4555152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked EDward Gaming45c938.61$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rex Regum Qeon24c876.89$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9857550.6%291 W · 284 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed EDward Gaming44c864.52$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked EDward Gaming46c824.97$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.497234.7%25 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked EDward Gaming45c808.89$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.893243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked Rex Regum Qeon26c762.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rex Regum Qeon17c734.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.411,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed EDward Gaming70c717.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Rex Regum Qeon24c701.81$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6316133.5%54 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Rex Regum Qeon54c660.84$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2314955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed EDward Gaming59c653.5$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2653742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93e5…3b8dbacked Rex Regum Qeon53c566.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked EDward Gaming54c560.98$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.054537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rex Regum Qeon24c540.6$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.281,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Rex Regum Qeon22c518.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.584843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked EDward Gaming44c512$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.727338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked EDward Gaming46c511.06$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8628847.6%137 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked EDward Gaming46c510.87$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8713455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed EDward Gaming49c507.63$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.411540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed EDward Gaming44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked EDward Gaming44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed EDward Gaming48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26028352.3%148 W · 135 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Rex Regum Qeon54c499.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9836648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed EDward Gaming46c495.65$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.658639.5%34 W · 52 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked EDward Gaming48c492.6$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.610844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked EDward Gaming77c450.74$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1785138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed EDward Gaming45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.446454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed EDward Gaming44c420$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.419140.3%77 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked EDward Gaming45c414.35$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8916647.6%79 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked EDward Gaming48c413.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4725943.2%112 W · 147 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Rex Regum Qeon51c399.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9918948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed EDward Gaming43c392.58$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7716547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Rex Regum Qeon29c391.91$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3921136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed Rex Regum Qeon17c389.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed EDward Gaming45c368.89$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.893444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed Rex Regum Qeon55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rex Regum Qeon19c361$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2181834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed EDward Gaming48c335.3$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.367347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed EDward Gaming45c328$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.49845.9%45 W · 53 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked EDward Gaming55c319$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.796945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked EDward Gaming45c308.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4560454%326 W · 278 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Rex Regum Qeon28c300.68$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3626932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rex Regum Qeon29c300$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5255637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Rex Regum Qeon23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6923834%81 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec9e…5d66backed EDward Gaming79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Rex Regum Qeon23c299.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6178344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked EDward Gaming70c289.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EDward Gaming49c289.57$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.971,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Rex Regum Qeon55c269.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed EDward Gaming44c247.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.356048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Rex Regum Qeon25c237$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4470543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Rex Regum Qeon22c232.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7635431.1%110 W · 244 L-29.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked EDward Gaming45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rex Regum Qeon30c205.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Rex Regum Qeon25c203.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0135142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked EDward Gaming44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Rex Regum Qeon56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11243459.2%257 W · 177 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fc…6972backed EDward Gaming48c198.51$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.463348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed EDward Gaming50c198.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.045145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed EDward Gaming51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0824047.9%115 W · 125 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Rex Regum Qeon25c189.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476426.6%17 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Rex Regum Qeon24c187.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2242140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Rex Regum Qeon55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.