TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof Rex Regum Qeon, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Rex Regum Qeon46c21,700$9,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,981.9524145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed EDward Gaming68c20,099$13,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,449.2552155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Rex Regum Qeon33c19,297$6,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,461.2954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked EDward Gaming55c13,037$7,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.846150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked EDward Gaming54c4,877$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.3510346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked EDward Gaming57c3,020$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.323847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Rex Regum Qeon44c2,698$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.0810842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Rex Regum Qeon2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked EDward Gaming61c2,021$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.229340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Rex Regum Qeon1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Rex Regum Qeon43c1,815$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.911,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked EDward Gaming53c1,750$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81530652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rex Regum Qeon25c1,573$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.551,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked EDward Gaming76c1,524$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.42751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Rex Regum Qeon24c1,306$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.619439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Rex Regum Qeon47c1,117$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2240944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Rex Regum Qeon32c993.75$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3185556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked EDward Gaming56c980.21$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.295660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rex Regum Qeon35c919.9$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3884838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Rex Regum Qeon45c864.18$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed EDward Gaming55c860.54$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.435058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed EDward Gaming68c740.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked EDward Gaming71c701.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.331675%12 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Rex Regum Qeon42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2943852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed EDward Gaming54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3225743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Rex Regum Qeon46c609.2$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.234856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rex Regum Qeon42c464.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.561,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Rex Regum Qeon47c459.33$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked EDward Gaming56c452.32$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0216347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked EDward Gaming62c419.52$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1650944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked EDward Gaming56c410.02$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7868949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Rex Regum Qeon56c389.55$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.39551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rex Regum Qeon38c388.41$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.051,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed EDward Gaming61c329.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.923941%16 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed EDward Gaming54c329$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.347540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Rex Regum Qeon50c324.25$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1610628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Rex Regum Qeon59c318.59$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rex Regum Qeon34c296.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.251,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked EDward Gaming68c245.1$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.423865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Rex Regum Qeon35c241.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5535331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked EDward Gaming59c238.85$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6942140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EDward Gaming60c237.65$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed EDward Gaming54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.227050%35 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Rex Regum Qeon31c204.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.521936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Rex Regum Qeon37c197.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8390733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…bdebbacked EDward Gaming57c187.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.735115.7%8 W · 43 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked EDward Gaming43c179.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5512856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbd…c385backed EDward Gaming57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rex Regum Qeon60c156.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.11,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Rex Regum Qeon21c152.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed EDward Gaming56c151.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.15358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked EDward Gaming69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7857151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked EDward Gaming54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.42755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Rex Regum Qeon36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Rex Regum Qeon67c137$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4614750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed EDward Gaming61c132.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.055162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Rex Regum Qeon32c124.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.783540%14 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Rex Regum Qeon24c122.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed Rex Regum Qeon15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Rex Regum Qeon13c112.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rex Regum Qeon21c110.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Rex Regum Qeon46c110.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.535655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Rex Regum Qeon32c110$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.223836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked EDward Gaming65c107.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.079965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa686…665dbacked Rex Regum Qeon46c106$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed EDward Gaming52c103.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9533838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57bf…e75abacked Rex Regum Qeon59c101.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked EDward Gaming70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed Rex Regum Qeon40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed Rex Regum Qeon25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Rex Regum Qeon44c96.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4896245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1b…dcf3backed EDward Gaming43c93.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.526352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb00…5173backed EDward Gaming74c90.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.35366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed EDward Gaming64c85.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.741361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rex Regum Qeon27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.851,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Rex Regum Qeon46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.123644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Rex Regum Qeon36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Rex Regum Qeon49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed EDward Gaming50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4028151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…f197backed Rex Regum Qeon21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174637%17 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Rex Regum Qeon41c77.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.964843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Rex Regum Qeon37c76.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.651,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed35…bd18backed EDward Gaming66c76.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed EDward Gaming55c73.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.817352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed EDward Gaming42c71.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.679540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Rex Regum Qeon34c71.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.219942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Rex Regum Qeon45c70.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5670043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed EDward Gaming78c64.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.537254.2%39 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1001…0cf1backed EDward Gaming57c63.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rex Regum Qeon47c63.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7442051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Rex Regum Qeon36c62.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3412850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Rex Regum Qeon49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Rex Regum Qeon42c60.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1665347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Rex Regum Qeon29c59.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.583721.6%8 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed EDward Gaming67c59.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.777745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed EDward Gaming53c58.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6953442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked EDward Gaming52c57.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1413043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Rex Regum Qeon34c55.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1238548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed EDward Gaming54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5613933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…74d3backed EDward Gaming54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.