TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32c3…5b4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$7,893.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,991.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,321Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$3,582.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$6,298.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,767Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$8,966.44
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$466.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$788.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+196.4%+$2,326.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,741.12
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,310.75
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,114.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$799.44
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,001.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,683.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$1,214.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$766.08
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.19
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$465.95
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.82
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.08
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.44
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$467.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.22
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,503.79
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$1,288.19
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,256
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.5
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,197
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,287
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE - Map 1 Winnerbacked ARETE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$474.88
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$789.47
Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International - Map 2 Winnerbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,767Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$3,847.54
Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International - Map 1 Winnerbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.93
Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 1 Winnerbacked IGZIST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$146.61
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.81
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$811.79
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490.45
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.03
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$64.4
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,485.68
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.65
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.96
Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.84
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$73.53
Valorant: REJECT vs Riddle - Map 1 Winnerbacked Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.33
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$1,223.53
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.28
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.86
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+124%+$920.02
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$483.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.64
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.01
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,053.36
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.96
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$930.96
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,648.53
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.08
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,083.74
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.6
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+219.4%+$2,191.39
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.69
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$2,157.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$667.44
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$1,298.91
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.59
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 Winnerbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$163.85
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 Winnerbacked OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$1,803.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,514.53
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,194.46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,185.81
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.32
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$377.37
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,562.33
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZEDI Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.77
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.59
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,418.22
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$636.47
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$1,226.8
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.43
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$620.48
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$607.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.4
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,905.26
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$462.13
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.76
All 17 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.