Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e8ed21231adc02f662283a86c06ecd3eb9a7498dc212a876473bbe67fd5f6a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 18,220$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.34 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 16,313$9,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.21 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked OG | 42c | 15,076$6,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,381.8 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 40c | 13,749$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.41 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 13,096$9,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.05 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked OG | 40c | 10,791$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.37 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 10,431$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.53 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 39c | 9,389$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.43 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 9,099$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.14 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked OG | 40c | 8,682$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 7,705$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.13 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 5,954$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.28 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked OG | 31c | 5,898$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.39 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked OG | 41c | 5,696$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.1 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked OG | 39c | 4,723$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.11 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked OG | 37c | 4,420$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.71 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed OG | 34c | 4,321$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 4,254$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.42 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed OG | 35c | 4,114$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.31 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed OG | 11c | 3,801$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.78 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 3,745$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.15 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 3,450$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.61 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 3,016$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.87 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed OG | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked OG | 39c | 3,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 2,906$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.15 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 35c | 2,829$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.69 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 41c | 2,606$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.46 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 2,596$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.39 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked OG | 23c | 2,517$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed OG | 45c | 2,369$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.23 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked OG | 22c | 2,286$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,268$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed OG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.99 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,892$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.28 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 42c | 1,836$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.65 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked LGD Gaming | 77c | 1,824$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.3 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed OG | 42c | 1,820$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.4 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 1,750$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.34 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed OG | 16c | 1,750$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,734$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.59 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked OG | 20c | 1,657$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 1,556$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.48 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,508$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.38 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 30c | 1,493$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.87 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked OG | 39c | 1,482$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.24 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,365$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,365$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.51 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,308$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.92 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 1,293$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.83 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed OG | 20c | 1,250$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed OG | 35c | 1,250$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed OG | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.22 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 1,070$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 2c | 1,050$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed OG | 41c | 1,049$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.58 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked OG | 39c | 1,037$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed OG | 38c | 1,036$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.67 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed OG | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked OG | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed OG | 26c | 999.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 40c | 985.9$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.14 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed OG | 24c | 980.74$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 17c | 980.52$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 958.89$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.03 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed OG | 36c | 951$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed OG | 41c | 924.65$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.55 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 914.03$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.69 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…8aa2backed OG | 36c | 905.59$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 888$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 862.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…27f1backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 859.11$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 36c | 810$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…042dbacked OG | 26c | 800$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked OG | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 775$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 33c | 755.6$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed OG | 34c | 749.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed OG | 2c | 720$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…04cbbacked OG | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed OG | 42c | 698.49$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.41 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked OG | 27c | 666.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 649.22$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.21 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed OG | 37c | 626.68$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 571.89$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked OG | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 507.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.27 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked OG | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed OG | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed OG | 42c | 488.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed OG | 41c | 482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.