Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9945529bcc5b03aeb3d5a99480312e6ec964a559080d2a8264c541820b335d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed OG | 16c | 4,270$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.11 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 4,059$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.27 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked OG | 36c | 3,383$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.56 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked OG | 33c | 2,519$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.51 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 2,080$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.28 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,049$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked OG | 35c | 741.72$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed OG | 28c | 725.88$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 669.46$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed OG | 28c | 651.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 582.08$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 576.85$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 20c | 512.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked OG | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked OG | 7c | 290.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed OG | 20c | 267.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed OG | 15c | 238$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…04cbbacked OG | 28c | 230$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 10c | 210.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…668abacked OG | 25c | 197.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed OG | 35c | 147.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 141$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 132.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…9362backed LGD Gaming | 80c | 131$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed OG | 17c | 127.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 114.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed OG | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 22c | 105.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 104.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed OG | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…89a5backed OG | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked OG | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked OG | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 92.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 29c | 81.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed OG | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed OG | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked OG | 34c | 72.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed OG | 33c | 67.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 61.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…cae6backed OG | 19c | 60.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9910…3a6bbacked OG | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…7de7backed OG | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed OG | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked OG | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 36.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 32.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…aa54backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…bc49backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 25.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…b7ffbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 20.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 18.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.