TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa574…4596

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.74
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$8.34
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$25.4
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs TheBoys (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked TheBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.13
Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)backed MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.12
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)backed Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winnerbacked Red Feet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Endless Journey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.56
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.83
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.04
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffsbacked BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Team shoke vs Team Aunkere (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bbacked Team shoke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$23.14
Counter-Strike: Team StRoGo vs Team Recrent (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Abacked Team Recrent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$20.22
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.33
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.28
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bastad: Dalma Galfi vs Kajsa Rinaldo Perssonbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Trieste: Juan Martin vs Henry Bernetbacked Juan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
Contrexeville: Elina Avanesyan vs Alicia Herrero Linanabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Liege: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Luca Staehelibacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
ITF Roda De Bara: Albert Pedrico Kravtsov vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Albert Pedrico Kravtsov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
ITF Astana: Albina Kakenova vs Gaeul Jangbacked Gaeul Jang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.16
ITF Getxo: Carles Hernandez vs Ignacio Pariscabacked Ignacio Parisca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Alexandrova/Jointbacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
ITF Cary: Kristina Liutova vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Jana Bojovic vs Tea Kovacevicbacked Tea Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.95
Maria vs. Jovic: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Kathinka Von Deichmannbacked Kathinka Von Deichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kessler (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Miami Open: Emerson Jones vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Asuncion: Alex Barrena vs Murkel Dellienbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)backed Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Asuncion: Franco Roncadelli vs Andrea Collarinibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$13
Miami Open, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Jay Clarkebacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Set 1 Winner: Boulter vs Maneirobacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.94
Murcia: Felix Gill vs Filip Pieczonkabacked Filip Pieczonka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$32.04
Dota 2: Hive vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.93
Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Team Essence (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Team Essence · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.16
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked DOGSENT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.51
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked LiXO eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Astini+5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.29
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$78.65
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife - Map 4 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife - Map 3 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.27
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.5
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$26.59
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs University War - Map 2 Winnerbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.56
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Joblife vs MIR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: Fancy United vs Motiv Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Motiv Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Sabres vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.31
Spread: Devils (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.71
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Hartford Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Amur Khabarovsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+165.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.65
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Scotlandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.64
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistanbacked Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$39.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$15.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.