NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd6c291cf315d0ad480dab9a2c01f968350c5053880c5daac3a35e2261b56568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,536,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,536,304 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 62c | 514,652$319,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319,642.6 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Flyers | 39c | 413,034$159,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,447.84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kings | 62c | 145,240$89,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,596.13 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 38c | 110,000$41,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,199.87 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 37c | 78,626$29,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,303.65 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Kings | 61c | 75,000$45,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,750 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Flyers | 38c | 64,800$24,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,175.81 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 61c | 60,000$36,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,600 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Flyers | 38c | 48,600$18,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,131.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Kings | 61c | 45,000$27,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,450 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Flyers | 38c | 41,805$15,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,919.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Kings | 62c | 34,000$21,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,080 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…4f09backed Flyers | 48c | 31,625$15,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,505.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Flyers | 38c | 29,160$11,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,079.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Flyers | 38c | 26,240$10,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,230.63 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 38c | 25,293$9,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,673.35 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Flyers | 65c | 23,515$15,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,164.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 48c | 23,297$11,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,194.2 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 38c | 21,557$8,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,467.19 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Flyers | 38c | 20,812$7,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,903.44 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kings | 61c | 20,719$12,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,538.97 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 36c | 20,315$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,286.89 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 61c | 19,437$11,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,867.17 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flyers | 38c | 18,829$7,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,592.76 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kings | 35c | 18,085$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.16 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers | 36c | 16,319$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,445.51 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Kings | 32c | 14,680$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 62c | 13,198$8,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,182.75 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 61c | 11,828$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.51 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 48c | 10,373$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Flyers | 69c | 10,137$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Flyers | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 62c | 9,557$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,926.01 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 64c | 9,540$6,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Flyers | 51c | 8,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.25 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 62c | 7,835$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.88 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Kings | 78c | 7,689$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.1 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…369bbacked Flyers | 65c | 7,646$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 40c | 7,223$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.59 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Flyers | 22c | 6,848$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.44 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kings | 65c | 6,674$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.28 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Flyers | 38c | 6,600$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Flyers | 38c | 6,146$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.64 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Flyers | 74c | 6,102$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Kings | 42c | 6,000$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.43 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 37c | 5,641$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.81 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 50c | 4,984$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.62 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Flyers | 38c | 4,700$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 50c | 4,564$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kings | 78c | 4,506$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.89 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 44c | 4,375$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 61c | 4,207$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kings | 38c | 4,176$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.8 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Kings | 2c | 4,107$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Kings | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flyers | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kings | 54c | 4,000$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.79 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Kings | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841c…555fbacked Flyers | 39c | 3,990$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Kings | 36c | 3,792$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.21 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Flyers | 45c | 3,730$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 61c | 3,471$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Flyers | 70c | 3,440$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.8 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.79 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Flyers | 68c | 3,257$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Kings | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flyers | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flyers | 33c | 3,000$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.77 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Kings | 33c | 2,928$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Flyers | 38c | 2,819$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Kings | 62c | 2,581$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Flyers | 39c | 2,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.65 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Flyers | 38c | 2,550$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.87 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Kings | 52c | 2,535$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.55 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Kings | 60c | 2,509$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Kings | 28c | 2,468$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 38c | 2,350$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.88 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.64 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Flyers | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 62c | 2,113$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Kings | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Flyers | 38c | 1,958$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 32c | 1,892$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.62 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Flyers | 65c | 1,778$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Kings | 59c | 1,701$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Kings | 44c | 1,677$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.25 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Kings | 34c | 1,657$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.52 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Flyers | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Flyers | 38c | 1,618$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Kings | 35c | 1,607$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Kings | 45c | 1,548$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.71 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 61c | 1,508$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.77 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Kings | 65c | 1,500$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 61c | 1,409$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.01 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Flyers | 39c | 1,351$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.16 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Flyers | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Flyers | 40c | 1,319$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.28 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Kingsthis page
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.