TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf94f…9ada

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$2,943.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,215
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,374Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$1,489.09
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,279.51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,734Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$518.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,181
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$1,810.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,579
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$1,086.87
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,635Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$1,025.72
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$625.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,620.06
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$1,942.45
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,828Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+70%+$1,981.04
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,471.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,503Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$1,055.17
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,747Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$780.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$3,119.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350.51
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.24
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,613Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$1,860.93
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$421.49
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,855Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69%+$1,278.88
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$839.56
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,819Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,387.19
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,470
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.18
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,471Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,280.92
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,734Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,477.11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,695Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,327.47
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,864.82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,023.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,334.84
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,480
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+64%+$1,988.59
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$3,698.86
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,545Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$1,531.6
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$1,228.48
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$718
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$418
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,803Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+27%+$756.64
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$471.63
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,754Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$997.8
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,357.31
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,041.94
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+315.2%+$2,043.7
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,296.98
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,010
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,312.23
New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$4,834.71
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$1,001.53
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,786.19
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,349
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$5,423.17
Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$1,166.36
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,444
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$984
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$1,609.85
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+257.5%+$2,041.59
England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$910.55
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61%+$817.87
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,535.74
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,387.06
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$942
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,751Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+170.8%+$2,990.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,092
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$706.27
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.2
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,757.9
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,668Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$655.08
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$787.09
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+74%+$1,096.38
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,496.58
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,603.14
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,081Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$3,415.12
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,596.75
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,510.33
Kings vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,653
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$577.41
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$772.43
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,055
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000.76
Clippers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$2,654.77
Jazz vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,021Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,524.89
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,227.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Dammbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,229
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.73
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Pigossi vs Despina Papamichailbacked Laura Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,238
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,965
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Cobollibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,296
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,950.21
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.3
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,594
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$2,635.3
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Mariana Higuitabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,053.87
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,781Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,081.59
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.7%+$536.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,999.62
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,551.89
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$733.98
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$2,069.65
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,783
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,001
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,229.56
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,141.88
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,720
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$983.68
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gabriella Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,234
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,021.72
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$846.28
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,732
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,140
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$1,219.97
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,802
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke Blue Devils vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$1,116.64
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,974Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,324.63
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,229.89
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,948.88
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,200.39
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,900
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,080
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,195
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,077
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,020Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+32.8%+$1,646.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$2,289.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,817Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$3,203.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,868Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$2,962.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,436.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,048.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.