Bundesliga · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6027f957d760ddc577235be47aac91ef23504b77dc7b9e129b941f05353a3d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	28c	12,192$3,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,454.26	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	55c	8,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe15…d08ebacked Over	78c	7,500$5,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,649.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c47…c537backed Over	79c	7,329$5,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,540.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under	30c	7,269$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	22c	7,130$1,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.02	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	79c	6,338$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.38	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	30c	3,415$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.6	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	40c	3,100$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,851.99	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over	75c	2,480$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.2	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	62cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	22c	1,998$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.4	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	58c	1,720$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.58	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	35c	1,460$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.55	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over	45c	1,444$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794.44	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over	45c	1,300$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	27c	1,220$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.44	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Under	65c	1,077$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over	77c	1,000$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	67cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over	77c	999.98$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	50c	900.12$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.29	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under	3c	875$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under	3c	875$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over	45c	800$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over	64c	738.81$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.35	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	58c	662$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.96	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	62c	600$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over	80c	591.8$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.89	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	69cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	21c	560.97$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.01	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over	77c	559$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.9	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over	77c	506.82$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.82	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	44c	505.75$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.22	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	55c	499.98$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.99	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over	75c	465.39$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.39	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under	26c	405.04$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.31	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under	59c	400$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over	45c	400$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over	43c	348.84$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.84	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under	59c	300$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	70cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over	42c	290$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.2	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	38c	259.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.78	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over	74c	250$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	55c	240$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	58c	236.01$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.76	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	38c	231$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.22	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…57afbacked Over	39c	230.9$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.9	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over	59c	212.59$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.59	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+122.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f0…3180backed Over	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	80cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa304…c4fbbacked Over	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…a990backed Over	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	70c	189.84$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.46	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	58c	172.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under	59c	170.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e8…3f48backed Under	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over	45c	167.7$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.24	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under	60c	167.43$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	63cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over	75c	152.27$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.27	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	41c	150.67$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.9	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	61c	137.58$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.77	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f26…c6a2backed Under	58c	135.64$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.67	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	108	63%68 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	36	88.9%32 W · 4 L	+8.1wins	+0.23per pick	66cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	74c	122$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.72	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	21c	120.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.21	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-7.3wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under	25c	116$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	22c	113.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Over	42c	107.83$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.54	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x648d…2d10backed Under	24c	103.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	78c	101.49$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.49	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Over	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	146	42.5%62 W · 84 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa14…e53bbacked Over	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	75cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	43c	99.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	11c	98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	61c	97.84$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.68	624	52.6%328 W · 296 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	58c	97.68$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.32	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	42c	94.63$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.26	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	43c	91.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.08	124	60.5%75 W · 49 L	+19.9wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	58c	85.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	63cpaid	-52%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	27c	70.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	43c	70.35$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.35	271	42.8%116 W · 155 L	+18.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1744…b131backed Under	58c	69.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	50cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	43c	69.42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.57	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+8.6wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	43c	67.21$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.31	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+25%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	58c	61.63$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.63	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	24c	60.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5this page
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Over won
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event