Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c15f707d9e10f20ed47656c202704f77fcfcfcc7b145e71b7ba223a39eb7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 51c | 19,522$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 62c | 15,414$9,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 59c | 5,903$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.23 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 41c | 4,263$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.83 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 4,110$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 39c | 3,929$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 66c | 3,801$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 33c | 3,474$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 53c | 3,419$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.49 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 13c | 3,204$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…92f9backed Under | 7c | 1,968$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 40c | 1,789$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.42 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 59c | 1,090$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.13 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,090$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 959.32$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.15 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 65c | 923.63$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9e46backed Under | 39c | 768.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 55c | 757$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.65 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 62c | 653.42$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 63c | 621.04$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.42 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 39c | 620.49$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 599.1$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 573$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 36c | 552.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 551.64$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.34 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 40c | 509.72$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 35c | 507.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 480.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 38c | 480$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Under | 43c | 461.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 457$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 60c | 431.38$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 64c | 403.01$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 65c | 398.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Over | 9c | 394.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.7 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 50c | 344$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 37c | 321.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 305.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 43c | 297.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 264.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 257.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 245.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 243.59$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Under | 39c | 215.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 39c | 215$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Under | 20c | 201.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 42c | 179.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 30c | 172$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…6746backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…a487backed Under | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 41c | 146.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Over | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 37c | 126$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Under | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 80c | 99.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 41c | 96.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 38c | 80.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 41c | 79.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 66c | 79.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…3a99backed Over | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 38c | 62.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 59c | 61.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 41c | 60.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 40c | 54.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 40c | 52.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 66c | 49.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 48.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.