TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc13f…c93b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
798
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT63445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 634 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.5
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.96
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.61
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$151.39
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers backed Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.45
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 634 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$39.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$85
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.41
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$33.53
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT4459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$34.72
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.41
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.18
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
White Sox vs. Astrosbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Yankees vs. Royalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$27.75
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$8.53
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Blue Jays vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$33.5
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Padres vs. Brewersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.6
Diamondbacks vs. Redsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Blue Jays vs. Twinsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Cubs vs. Tigersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Diamondbacks vs. Redsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$79
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Chelsea vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+51%+$10.21
Will Liverpool vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Leicester vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+121.2%+$54.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30.5
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+733.3%+$88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+150%+$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$20.37
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Croatia vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$34
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+67%+$46.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.