Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792fad9fe6d982c91ac79aed47fba3e75f88d021b501b3fad4012a5b89ed3487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 45c | 532.22$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 49c | 390.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed Under | 53c | 236.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 45c | 202.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 50c | 201.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 45c | 191.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 55c | 191.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Under | 52c | 153.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 53c | 113.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 45c | 52.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Under | 39c | 40.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…f560backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 39c | 34.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 33.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 52c | 24.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…2624backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 60c | 16.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.