TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,076 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8430…3961backed Under65c613.06$401 inLost-$400.5337754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under60c580.65$350 inLost-$35076955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Over40c417.58$167 inWon+$250.5516654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over41c417.05$171 inWon+$245.7610545.7%48 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb343…3657backed Over47c277.45$130 inWon+$147.451020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over50c194$97 inWon+$978842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c141.59$57 inWon+$84.752,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over40c120$48 inWon+$726445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over39c117$46 inWon+$71.374341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Under62c101.61$63 inLost-$6312644.4%56 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Over39c100$39 inWon+$6116047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under23c92.04$21 inLost-$21.1716819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa95…5b7cbacked Under60c33.33$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…2880backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$102055%11 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.