TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68ff…997e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 61 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT8842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.65
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.18
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.67
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$199.63
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.98
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.42
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.05
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88%+$233.99
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.41
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+150%+$120
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$73.99
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT7640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Manu Koné: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.12
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$276.59
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$686
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3040%12 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.32
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$128
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+376.2%+$158
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$320
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$184
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+395%+$159.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$151.36
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.16
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$350
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$103.99
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$229.4
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$386.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$140.8
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$90
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$89.99
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$120
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$89.99
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$92
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will US Lecce vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$103
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.93
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)backed KKS Lech Poznań · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$307.14
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$789.99
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$320
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will FC Barcelona vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will FC København win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.95
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$113.99
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$278.57
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$710
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$160
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick41cpaid+76.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Independiente Medellín vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+203%+$134
CS Cristal vs. CS 2 de Mayo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+188.6%+$158.11
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Atlas FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$44.46
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$49.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$100
FC Metz vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$101.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$338
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$360
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.