TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$405,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Top Esports44c26,211$11,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,544.891,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Weibo Gaming76c16,313$12,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.0981143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Top Esports27c14,576$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.422,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Top Esports38c10,178$3,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,835.61216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Weibo Gaming60c9,990$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.0131153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Weibo Gaming61c7,656$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.8464155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Top Esports10c6,700$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.5271249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Top Esports47c6,380$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.592254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee8f…74b5backed Weibo Gaming64c6,239$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.76349.2%31 W · 32 L-9.2wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Top Esports1c6,153$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3317410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Weibo Gaming56c6,071$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.4317949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Weibo Gaming53c6,049$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.9111140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Weibo Gaming77c5,616$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.8940651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Top Esports10c5,555$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.51,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Top Esports23c5,450$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.418451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports38c5,365$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.691,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Top Esports0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Weibo Gaming56c4,919$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.196552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Top Esports21c4,790$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Top Esports10c4,060$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40623020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c3a…4a05backed Weibo Gaming78c3,994$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8781050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Top Esports44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50052848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Top Esports47c3,400$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.1239749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Top Esports10c3,371$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9253640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming66c3,204$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.673,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Top Esports37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Top Esports16c2,900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47764553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Top Esports5c2,841$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8566116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Weibo Gaming72c2,760$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.6220354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Top Esports18c2,672$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0229236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x618b…f937backed Weibo Gaming75c2,652$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.242634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Weibo Gaming54c2,565$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.813762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7872…d0c0backed Weibo Gaming55c2,117$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Top Esports39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78021954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Top Esports12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Weibo Gaming68c1,936$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.966237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports37c1,900$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Top Esports14c1,831$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4611440.4%46 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Top Esports46c1,769$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.8121028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming53c1,646$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.742,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Top Esports46c1,609$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74017537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Weibo Gaming74c1,600$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6212763%80 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3362…6da2backed Weibo Gaming53c1,576$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.72850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Weibo Gaming69c1,555$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.225560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Top Esports39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58549549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Top Esports2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Weibo Gaming71c1,455$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.151,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Weibo Gaming65c1,400$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.563161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Top Esports38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Top Esports39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Top Esports37c1,252$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.2476953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Weibo Gaming63c1,222$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5446552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…907fbacked Weibo Gaming55c1,211$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e86…1c5dbacked Top Esports8c1,209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Top Esports35c1,208$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7939750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Top Esports28c1,200$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9930139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Top Esports13c1,025$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.331,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Weibo Gaming76c1,022$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.531,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Weibo Gaming62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Top Esports36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36013946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9587…408cbacked Weibo Gaming56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44014754.4%80 W · 67 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Top Esports37c1,000$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5611434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Top Esports46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46013040.8%53 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Top Esports38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Weibo Gaming78c933.33$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5818149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Top Esports10c899.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9324147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Top Esports21c897.22$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9715450%77 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Top Esports10c822.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3218241.8%76 W · 106 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Top Esports4c817$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.72931%9 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick22cpaid-12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Weibo Gaming62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.458758.6%51 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed Top Esports37c803.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012356.9%70 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Top Esports25c801.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20085652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c2…e8c7backed Top Esports9c799.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Weibo Gaming63c799.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9912055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Top Esports10c799.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8097427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Top Esports18c763.26$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3376639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Top Esports18c740$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.348353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Top Esports14c728.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Top Esports36c707.47$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8312934.9%45 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Top Esports41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2871,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0146…e924backed Top Esports14c680.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.144734%16 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Top Esports13c652.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511032.7%36 W · 74 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Weibo Gaming62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1636260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Weibo Gaming66c621$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9396057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Weibo Gaming53c613.21$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2114835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Weibo Gaming72c612.58$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3821059%124 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports38c603.55$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.492,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8d8…0579backed Top Esports17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Top Esports38c586.91$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.151,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Top Esports17c577.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10129833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Top Esports14c569.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.724858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Weibo Gaming62c562.06$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5818744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Top Esports38c555$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.451,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Top Esports46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…f296backed Top Esports37c542.85$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.923135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Top Esports38c530$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.424328.8%70 W · 173 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Top Esports43c528$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0410243.1%44 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Weibo Gaming61c526.88$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.881,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Top Esports15c523.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.721,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports10c518.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.91,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.