TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68a6…e96b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,429
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1,218 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,263.18
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.98
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$705
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,531.97
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,664Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$1,136
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,167.16
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$651.84
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$930
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,589.4
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$875
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$973.44
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$792
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$736
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40%+$571.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$360
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$343
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$16.3
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$392.4
Showing 25 of 1,218 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT20942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,365.75
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$920
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$689.99
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$321.97
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$780
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$517.06
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.01
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+273.9%+$1,428.67
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.15
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.02
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.54
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.88
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.96
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,680
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.02
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.