NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a74cc81cf1abb87527febc0937e6e8b5095a8846975e5430f415af5298567a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,590,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,656,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,590,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,701 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 58c | 156,544$90,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,375.22 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Raptors | 68c | 148,990$101,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,539.48 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 42c | 124,737$52,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,347.37 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 52c | 85,857$44,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,781.64 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 42c | 81,700$34,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,386 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 77,101$37,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,209.55 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Raptors | 41c | 74,998$30,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,249.07 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Cavaliers | 57c | 64,484$36,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,755.92 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Raptors | 44c | 62,879$27,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,021.24 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 31c | 51,146$15,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,730.77 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 44,473$24,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,320.28 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Raptors | 42c | 43,250$18,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,085 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 57c | 38,798$21,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,859.62 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 29c | 36,000$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,489.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Raptors | 41c | 34,871$14,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,461.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Cavaliers | 46c | 31,455$14,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,469.27 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 59c | 24,798$14,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,631 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Raptors | 42c | 24,548$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,237.81 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 23c | 19,889$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.39 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Cavaliers | 56c | 19,611$10,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,943.11 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Cavaliers | 27c | 17,559$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.02 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 17,546$10,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,176.91 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Cavaliers | 58c | 16,807$9,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 16,719$7,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,509.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 57c | 16,709$9,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,257.67 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Raptors | 57c | 14,658$8,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272.93 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Cavaliers | 45c | 14,639$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.94 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Raptors | 43c | 14,487$6,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,257.59 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Raptors | 54c | 14,477$7,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.05 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Cavaliers | 58c | 14,080$8,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,166.41 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 13,327$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,157.33 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers | 56c | 13,107$7,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,290.76 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Cavaliers | 57c | 12,780$7,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,284.52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Cavaliers | 59c | 12,280$7,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,192.24 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 11,856$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.48 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Raptors | 41c | 11,763$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.41 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 11,567$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,877.93 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Raptors | 47c | 10,843$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.75 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 9,861$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Cavaliers | 58c | 9,183$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Raptors | 42c | 9,000$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.97 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 51c | 8,912$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.48 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers | 59c | 8,658$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.2 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…4406backed Cavaliers | 36c | 7,967$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Raptors | 44c | 7,962$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482.98 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Raptors | 62c | 7,921$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.96 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Raptors | 62c | 7,860$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.24 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,745$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 51c | 7,685$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 7,602$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 6,930$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.31 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 6,896$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.23 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Raptors | 42c | 6,894$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.69 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cavaliers | 58c | 6,723$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.2 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,595$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.48 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,240$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.36 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed Cavaliers | 79c | 6,211$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Raptors | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.98 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 29c | 5,912$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.03 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 47c | 5,792$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…4ff5backed Cavaliers | 1c | 5,726$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…10e4backed Cavaliers | 30c | 5,720$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…492ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,374$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…0d2bbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 5,200$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…bf03backed Raptors | 41c | 5,200$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.94 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Raptors | 41c | 5,041$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.05 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Cavaliers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cavaliers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Raptors | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.97 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Raptors | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.88 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 4,928$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers | 1c | 4,912$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Raptors | 47c | 4,878$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.99 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors | 43c | 4,829$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.53 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Raptors | 43c | 4,829$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.53 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Raptors | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.96 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 25c | 4,722$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.7 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Raptors | 43c | 4,665$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.94 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,635$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.15 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.92 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…eee3backed Cavaliers | 2c | 4,413$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Raptors | 69c | 4,333$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.13 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 4,303$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.57 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,272$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Cavaliers | 59c | 4,108$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Raptors | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.99 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Raptors | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Raptors | 47c | 3,998$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.75 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Cavaliers | 15c | 3,899$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.95 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors | 43c | 3,863$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.02 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Raptors | 75c | 3,744$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.21 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 42c | 3,695$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Cavaliers | 55c | 3,638$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.82 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 3,306$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Cavaliers | 46c | 3,179$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.4 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 43c | 3,145$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.45 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Cavaliers | 57c | 3,098$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.64 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,091$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.3 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 12.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.