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NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c7,628$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.9166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under11c6,937$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.831,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c5,447$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.182,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over49c3,318$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.524949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.9919937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c2,993$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.253,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c2,212$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c2,152$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.5769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over49c1,938$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5810847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c1,928$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.0466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,718$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under53c1,588$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.612646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b07…98a7backed Under54c1,399$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.153452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under49c1,247$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2114640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over47c983.93$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.7761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c977.13$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.182,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under57c900$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51611757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c867.21$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c850.2$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.9893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over47c793.18$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.3689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under43c748.6$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.593438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c631.8$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.291,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Over47c484.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.572740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under34c418.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.481,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under50c377.76$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.887946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over55c333.03$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2414634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c324.59$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Under46c315.82$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.141861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Under60c301.59$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8726339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over50c264.89$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99c…dd3abacked Under57c257.19$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.111526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under26c251.11$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Under64c248.64$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.649548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Under6c243.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.895633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff8…a9c1backed Under8c240.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under13c227.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10824955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed Under30c192.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.332231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c190.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.231,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over36c190.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Under64c182.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.422470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over57c181.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over52c181.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3931345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578f…eafabacked Under55c175.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.331030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under18c174.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.363831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c165.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.795,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…9389backed Under44c163.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.511346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked Under7c152.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.481625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.521743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over56c146.79$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c130.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.442,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under53c129.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8923741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c125.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.162,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over48c124.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.783,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under14c117.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over54c117.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over45c112.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4820055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4180…692abacked Under69c112.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under54c112.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c110.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over64c109.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.461,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under47c103.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4111653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.516543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under54c90.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.615850%29 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over56c86.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…3924backed Under17c86.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.433253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over56c85.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over45c85.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.449748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under13c82.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Under74c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.25248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Under21c79.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under54c77.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.016746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under50c75.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under57c73.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.811,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over40c72.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3845542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x396b…2ef5backed Under55c70.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over48c68.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4722143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over44c67.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8911057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Over58c67.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.246144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Over52c64.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.214257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over45c63.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.839949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Over53c61.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Under52c60.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.285034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under44c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.510651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1521952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Over44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.752857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under46c52.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.197646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over49c50.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8814464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over50c50.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1625958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.249542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe350…c0c8backed Over49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.