NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ed51f8e51624c4f2ecaec6ae8916ff32015d5c4ffdd6570e7820c19cd6a4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Raptors | 49c | 55,555$27,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,332.91 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Raptors | 50c | 52,465$26,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,357.45 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 30,170$15,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,132.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 21,353$10,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,890.13 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Raptors | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.96 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers | 0c | 18,579$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 48c | 13,855$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,204.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 49c | 12,425$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,292.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 11,821$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,028.69 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Cavaliers | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 8,255$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.7 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 8,067$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.11 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Raptors | 49c | 6,863$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.69 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,363$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,910$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.34 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,071$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.81 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,973$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.53 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…4918backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,867$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,627$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.85 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 46c | 3,340$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.62 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,950$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.94 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,911$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.61 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.9 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 2,493$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.67 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ff02backed Raptors | 49c | 2,429$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 56c | 2,379$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.17 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,244$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.83 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,923$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.72 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.71 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,824$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.41 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Raptors | 53c | 1,519$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.77 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,443$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 49c | 1,435$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,412$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.27 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,309$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.77 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,294$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.56 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 42c | 1,260$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,165$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.01 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.04 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,029$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Raptors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 51c | 982$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.82 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Raptors | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 54c | 963.29$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Raptors | 52c | 859.4$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.41 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cavaliers | 51c | 842.81$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.49 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Cavaliers | 51c | 832.78$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.33 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 47c | 672.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 622.71$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers | 51c | 612.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 595.95$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.93 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers | 43c | 588.78$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Cavaliers | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Cavaliers | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 44c | 529.97$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Cavaliers | 51c | 495.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Raptors | 50c | 484.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Cavaliers | 52c | 446.75$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Cavaliers | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…076abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 391.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Cavaliers | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Raptors | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Raptors | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Cavaliers | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Cavaliers | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 48c | 368.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Cavaliers | 53c | 364.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Cavaliers | 50c | 348.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…f067backed Cavaliers | 48c | 305.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Raptors | 49c | 290.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Cavaliers | 51c | 274.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Cavaliers | 51c | 266.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 258.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Cavaliers | 52c | 256.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Cavaliers | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 242.59$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 237.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 234.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 231.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 227.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors | 53c | 215.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…169bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Raptors | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Raptors | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cavaliers | 52c | 189.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Cavaliers | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…dcb0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 12.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.